The Guns of UP and Woke Liberals

The recent killing of Vikas Dubey - a criminal par excellence, during an encounter has sent India's new age secularists, old fart liberals and Uttar Pradesh's opposition parties into a fit. It's hard to imagine that a person like Vikas Dubey's death can have any voice supporting him. It's time to celebrate actually. He was not just a career criminal but his connections in political parties means he was virtually untouchable from law perspective. So, in his death, why would he find new set of supporters? Especially when his own father is not planning to take his body from cops for last rites.

Let's first draw boundaries for our argument here. I don't plan to write about why SP, BSP or "I am grand daughter of my grand mother" fame madame 420, are saying what they are saying. I am not planning to counter the new age secularists who are suddenly feeling woke to Vikas Dubey's caste.

This brings me to old fart liberals. This specie is unique in every possible sense. They are highly insecure, to be begin with. Their arguments for the sake of liberalism lacks practicality, reality and most importantly, truth of the matter. They want to speak for the rights of perpetrators while happily ignoring rights and feelings of the victims. Though most of these folks are honest fools, in India at least, a good chunk of 'liberal' public figures have put themselves 'On Sale'. These special specie class includes movie celebrities, so called NGO activists, so called journalists and most importantly, lawyers. It's easy to dismiss them as shrill nuisance. But during UPA II era, they have firmly entrenched themselves within judiciary. That's why you see their PILs getting listed in SC pronto. The process that has evolved over last decade is like this -  a controversy is fanned into a national emergency by 'liberal' media. Then right on cue, a 'liberal' lawyer will straight go to Supreme Court of India to file a case. It may be a stay, or a request to transfer case out of said State's jurisdiction or perhaps, to set up a SC monitored investigation. But worse is yet to come. Our honorable Supreme Court actually used to take cognizance of such frivolous matter on urgent basis. For example, Yakub Menon got hearing midnight when lakhs of people don't even get their matter listed in SC for years. Another classic example is Teesta Setalvad getting bail when SC judges decided to hear her plea over PHONE on a weekend!

Coming back to our topic in hand, what all this eco-system had to do with Vikas Dubey? They were all hoping either Vikas Dubey not to get caught ever - thus they will probably go to court to haul UP  govt (read Yogi Adityanath!) in courts and request a court mandated and monitored investigation to look into UP govt. hiding or helping Vikas Dubey. Or if Vikas Dubey is to get caught then first, ensure he gets bail and second, his case gets transferred out of UP so that they can prolong it for decades. In short, Vikas Dubey becomes a stick to needle Yogi Adityanath and BJP constantly. This would be punishment for Yogi ji for ensuring law order remains strong during Shaheen bagh bullshit. These so called liberals managed to execute on this plan by making a massive firestorm controversy over encounter of Prajapati (a known underworld Don) and of Ishrat Jahan (a supposedly innocent girl, happen to be travelling with 5 dreaded LeT islamic terrorists.). Modi and Shah had to face agni-pariksha for executing on their duties for almost a decade. It's an entirely different matter that this ploy, though worked in short term, lead to downfall of the very dynasty that fed them.

One thing these 'liberals' did not take into account in there calculation is the person they are dealing with. Modi-Shah were only CM then. The BJP central leadership wasn't necessarily tuned to the agenda and schemes of these liberals. So, Modi had to fight it alone. In Yogi ji's case not only the central leadership strongly standing behind Yogi ji, the man himself is exceptionally clear in his talks and actions. Just like Modi, Yogi ji has no family to feed and no money to make for anyone. All he is expected to do is the govern the way government is supposed to do.

All the liberals shouting hoarse of death of judiciary because of Vikas Dubey's encounter, never realize that justice was never alive when Vikas Dubey was roaming free. Yogi ji understands this clearly. Perhaps, he could have interrogated if he was to alive. But what happened when a dreaded criminal is arrested in the past? Did it lead to further arrests? Classic case is of Abdul Telgi. (Stamp paper scam) Didn't he testify? Didn't he spilled the beans? Didn't he named the politicians? Did anyone ever got arrested? And, Where is Abdul Telgi?

Indian judiciary is littered with such case. Where convicts never faced prison and people that should be convicted never even got accused. What is one supposed to do under such circumstances? Here we have a dreaded criminal who killed 8 police in cold blood and then cut fingers and head of the constable who lead the police search party. And then there is a whole 'woke' 'liberal' agenda-driven eco-system of Mumbai and Delhi ready and waiting not only to rescue the criminal but then use it to stick it to the govt?

I wish Vikas Dubey was alive in jail. I wish he had confessed for his crimes and named the names. I wish the names were put in jail and put on trial and most importantly, convicted. But till the point such time comes, Vikas Dubey's of this world had to be dealt with per the demands of current circumstances.

  

Cheeni Kam

Growing up, we never called China as Chaay-na. It was always Cheeen. In Marathi, the name is still written that way only. World, in general, would do better if we have little less of Cheen-i in our life. The Covid havoc Cheen-i has unleashed on world is unprecedented in recent memory. And if that wasn't enough then Cheen is attempting to inflict more pain on the countries that are in a geographically unfortunate situation of being their neighbor. The strategy Cheen-i leadership have adopted since last couple of months is not only surprising but frankly, delusional and self-destructive. Pressure, power and threat rarely work together for long period of time against one country and it definitely will not work if employed against multiple countries, at the same time!

China is currently simultaneously engaged in hostile stand-off with India in Ladakh region, with Taiwan in, well, all of Taiwan region, with Japan in East China sea, with Vietnam and Philippines in South China Sea. They are also attempting to subdue Hong Kong using strong arm tactics. The moves seems calculated to a certain extent. Which to be honest is quite impressive since only the strongest nations in history have managed to compartmentalized their foreign affairs and deal with multiple parties - hostile and friendly, simultaneously. China already considers itself a super-power and perhaps, this is their way to show the world that they have arrived.

But achieving hegemony requires time and patience. And if history (emergence of British hegemony or American hegemony in last 150 odd years) is any precursor then little bit of luck as well. China is showing no patience and them spreading corona virus isn't the lucky break they are hoping for. America is still the numero uno military power in the world. And while one can argue that China is number two, the chasm between #1 and #2 is so vast that one may even say that there is no competition. Moreover, other nations are fast catching up with China as well. In short, below the deck of American military hegemony, world is a multilateral. And the status quo is not changing anytime soon.

Forget about world dominance, even China's immidiate neighbors are no pushovers. Indian military is battle hardened and technological fairly advanced. Japan is heavily militarizing in last one decade. South Korea is also a strong military nation. Vietnam, Philippines and other South-East Asian nations have also armed themselves to the extent they can. These countries are fairly stable politically as well.

Then why is China picking up fights on all fronts? As I said before, perhaps, they think now is the time to shine bright and arrive on the world stage as a super power. If this is the case then we are in more trouble since they would want to start a war with someone to showcase their military strength and worse, win the war. Given that they simply do not care about human life -their own or for others, the war will have to be won at any cost. That means more destruction and loss of human life.

Or, perhaps, they think world is not going to react to their mischief and they get to push the envelope further than before without getting penalized. They are the greatest land grabbers since '13 colony' United States of America. Their policy towards neighbors is to grab land whenever they can and constantly pushing to grab more land from the neighbors. Chinese simply unable to stop from claiming literally EVERYTHING!

I believe that it's likely to be second option. Chinese leadership is delusional for sure but I believe they still understand limits of their power and strength. But by regularly poking fingers into neighbors, proverbial, butts, they get to test their own strength as well as their neighbors. They can test neighboring nations' leadership, resoluteness and political, social and military readiness. And in this process if they can grab few hundred square km land then that's icing on the cake.

Another aspect behind these shenanigans is to divert withering attention away Chinese virus aka corona virus.  Chinese leadership knows that their worldwide popularity, despite 'investing' heavily into foreign nations academia and in journalists / press of foreign nations, is all time low. They are aware that such disenchantment can lead to policy decisions that can have negative impact on Chinese economy. For example, anti-China rhetoric in India has led to cancellation of multi billion dollar infrastructure projects awarded to Chinese construction companies. Now, to be honest, the impact of such measures is less than negligible to Chinese economy but avalanche always start slow.

However, notwithstanding the short term cost, I believe the neighboring nation should play this game resolutely and teach some bloody lesson to Chinese. I know it's easy for me to be keyboard warrior than to be in Ladakh right now. But the reality is backing down right now may save few lives (which is a worthy cause - every soldier's life matter!) but will lead to hundreds of more lives lost in near future. Because these communist Chinese are new scourge on earth and they will not stop unless forcefully stopped. 

Har Har Modi?

The lack of controversy since Modi government took over is stunning. There is literally nothing that is worth mentioning here. Granted, the opposition is decimated to the core and is completely voiceless. But Media is not and we all know how deafening these media crooks (aka Barkha Dutt, Rajdeep Sardesai, Sagarika Ghosh et al. ) can get. Yet, even they couldn't find muck to throw at Modi and his government. It is hard to believe especially when the last government was so infested with anti-government, anti-national types elements that media was getting news without even doing the show of reporting. The Manmohan government was like bunch of steel utensils stuffed in a a sack. Useless and constantly making noise. Anyways, coming back to Modi government, I think the lack of controversies is not surprising at all. It is a all together different paradigm unfolding right in front of us. I am not saying I could have predicted such lack of controversies when Modi took over the helm. But if one thing that can be said about Mod is this, the status-quo won't be maintained for most purposes. Old vestiges will be dismantled and corrupt fat of cronies and hangers will be surgically removed and moreover, governance will be implemented as it should be. The last point, and I will elaborate on it later with few telling examples, is by far the most important aspect that will define the next decade as the one where India will actually come close to attain its illusory potential.

Modi is not what Media portrays. He is not what people who claim to read the tea-leaves thinks he is. He is much better and much smarter. The biggest difference is, after more than 20  years, India finally has a shrewd politician at the helm. Apart from Indira Gandhi I think only P.V. Narasimharao qualifies as a true politician. Vajapayee ji was a great orator and a visionary and he definitely understood politics too. However, he was too much of a gentleman. Modi knows how to play politics, how to checkmate opposition and when to pick up fight. He has weathered too many storms. And most importantly given his lack of family attachments, he literally has nothing to lose.

The Media boomerang:
It was interesting to see how media crooks are completely surprised or at least feigning surprise at lack of accessibility to Modi government. Now, I know Manmohan didn't speak with media often but then that dude didn't speak at all! May be Modi is angry at media since he media virtually convicted and crucified of the crime that he did not commit but that will be trivial reason for Modi to shun media. He is a pragmatic man. He understands the power of Media and knows he cannot openly wage war against them. So he first picked and chose the media outlets he would talk to during the election campaign. Interviews and access was given individual journalists and regional news channels. He purposefully shunned people like Barkha Dutt and Rajdeep Sardesai - you know, the god-complex journalists. And second, he became a media house himself. He became his own propaganda machine. He is very active both on Twitter and Facebook. I have 'Liked' his FB page, where he posts sort of personalized pictures of himself in the middle of doing various things. For example, it was heartening to see him getting welcomed so enthusiastically in Japan from his Japan Album on his FB page. Now, one can argue that this can all be a big show but what is inarguable is that folks don't need media outlets to get news on Modi. They can get it from Modi himself. Just as in recently concluded general elections, Modi's direct communication with people will play pivotal role in shaping the image of him and his government in coming few years.

Media thought that they have golden keys to create and destroy public image of politicians. And they have wielded this power enormously over last twenty years and never so negatively and obsessively as against Modi. For now at least these media houses are floored in their own game.

The Radical Maverick?: 
Modi is neither radical, nor maverick. The only way to describe him is pragmatic. For example, any sane person would take the treatment US mated out to him personally. But Modi didn't. In fact, he has scored bunch of brownie points over US even before visiting them by making all correct statements. He knows that he is a PM of a country and he cannot let personal feelings and insults hinder him from serving the interest of our nation. Similarly, the economic rejuvenation was not an overnight task. So the budget pretty much stayed the same as Manmohan government. However, the key difference was the emphasize on quick decisions and focus on implementation. There is absolutely no need to reinvent the wheel as far as the financial and economic reforms are concerned. Scores of committees appointed by past government has laid down what needs to be done. There needs to be political will and fortitude to implement the reforms. I think that's why the big ticket items that many people expected didn't happen in first 100 days. Reforms has to be slow and existing infrastructure and bureaucracy has to be utilized to implement these reforms rather inventing new mechanism. Remember just because Modi is elected doesn't mean the famed babudom of India will certainly become efficient. It will be a slow process. So many things has to be done on so many fronts that everything cannot happen at the same time. So far we have judicial reforms already underway along with some part of labor reforms. The government administrative reforms have started with abolition of time-wasting attestation requirements. These steps, though not news headline worthy, are building blocks for bigger things to come. Plus, all this is to be done keeping election politics in mind. Remember there is no brownie point for being a great PM but not getting elected in the next term. So, some compromise in short-term will have to be there to ensure vote bank stays with Modi. In short, instead of watching each and every wheel of the clock, it will pay to see the bigger picture. The clock has started ticking after long time and it will move only forward this time.

An Unnecessary War

Iraq was was a personal experience. I was very involved in current affairs discussion groups in my college. So I followed the build-up to the war and then actual happenings in Iraq closely. I remember when Bush gave his ultimatum to Saddam in a dramatic and rather fake voice I happened to watch it live and happened to be barely 300 miles from his studio. I remember reading articles about possible connections between Iraq and Al-Quida almost year and half prior to the actual start of the war and remember thinking, wtf! I remember reading an NYT news story where the term WMD was first used. I remember the press conferences of Cheney and Rumsfeld and remember thinking that they are one, arrogant pricks and second, ‘liar liar pants on fire’. (Of course, the fire was going to drop on Iraq) I remember the photo of Powell dramatically holding a test tube in UN Assembly purported to be the proof of Saddam acquiring chemical weapons.  That photo will probably be engraved on his tombstone.

The ‘test tube’, which nobody in UN bothered to actually, you know, test, was considered then as the only credible piece of evidence against Saddam. Powell, a four star Army General, had such a stellar reputation that if he is convinced of reason to go to war then the consensus was that there must actually be a valid reason for the war. 

The test tube was fake and worthless. The evidence was actually an evidence of not having any evidence. The reasons for the war were always flimsy but conjectures were presented as facts, and predictions from experts were shoved aside as white noise. The war was simply a forgone conclusion by then. The wheels of war machinery were already rolling down the hill when Powell presented the test tube ‘proof’ to the world. So many billions of dollars were already invested. Moreover, so many billions more were planned to be invested in the war that, looking back, there was no way anyone could have stopped that war. It is often said that US goes to a war every 10 to 15 years. The factoid is somewhat true but to actually witness the preparations for the war rampaging through what can technically be termed as democratic institutions is a breathtaking. The chilling reality behind that fact becomes apparent. Terms like ‘Military-Industrial complex’, something that Eisenhower warned about more than 50 years ago, and ‘War Economy’ ceased to be academic. These terms came alive with godly wrath. It is like a storm is stirred by the devil where all we can do is to witness the fury and destruction.

War is just another happening for the folks in US. The news channels go hoarse over it for a month or so and then it became the middle story and finally a back story. What these news channels look for is some sort of interesting controversy in the war. The Haditha killings for example. It is rather morose reality that the society has resigned to war – something that country should resort to as a last option, being a frequently used option. As the Iraq war dragged on, the death toll kept rising along with delusional leadership of the government. The death toll of US troops in Iraq weren’t high compared to some of the prior wars US has fought. The Vietnam war had more than 58000 casualties. The Iraq was on the other hand had little over 5000 over the span of 6 to 7 years. It’s just that lives were unnecessarily lost. The war on terror had couple of other better suited candidates but those countries were considered as friends while Iraq was targeted as terrorist. Of course, Saddam deserved to die. But if we are talking about who is worse, then Saddam kind of takes back-seat.

The WMDs and chemical weapons were never found. The invasion stirred the delicate balance of shia and sunni sects of Iraqi society. The animosity was historic but the war provided the legitimacy to the senseless slaughter these sects resorted to. The elections were held, the Iraqi military was ‘established’ and ‘trained’ but the violence between these sects ebbed and flowed, constantly threatening to very existence of Iraq as a nation. ISIS is only the recent chapter in the flux. It will probably be defeated but the seeds violence will continue to sprout. One would only hope that the violence doesn’t spill over into rest of the world.

By fifth year of war the American society lost interest in the war.  There was historic Obama election to worry about, an financial crises of unprecedented scale to bear. The Iraq war ceased to be even the back story. The impetus for the war never explained and the end no one cared about. The empire that never considers itself as an empire, it its empire like arrogance has created another Afghanistan that rest of the world now has to bear. 

Manmohan's Legacy

Discussing legacy is a tricky proposition. It is even harder when the past is still very recent and fresh. The nuances are obviously the first casualty but more than that, the emotions are still so raw that any analysis loses objectivity. In case of Manmohan though the dice on his legacy was cast the very moment he chose to accept his ‘selection’ as a PM of India. His term as a PM has still few days left but the narrative has long reached the conclusion.

By far and large Manmohan is usually considered as a clean and non-corrupt person. After Vajapayee, he may be the cleanest PM of India. The recently published book on Manmohan steadfastly holds the notion of him being absolutely non-corruptible. He has never received any bribes or monetary favors for himself or for his family and that he takes immense pride at it. Substantial majority in India also buys into this narrative. To be honest, I find that belief silly. The UPA regime has birthed scams of such a staggering scale that people like to take solace by saying at least our Prime Minister was not corrupt. It is as if Manmohan is a lotus flower amidst wretched sycophants of congress party. Though calling him a lotus flower is quite funny in current politically charged environment.

I think Manmohan is a vile old man who is morally and ethically corrupt. He is immoral because allegiance was to Sonia rather than to our nation. And he is unethical because in spite of knowing the rampant corruption that was happening under his watch, he refused to stop the corrupt or at worse, resign for his failure. A lifelong congress crony, his zeal to protect Sonia was his undoing and electing him twice was India’s.

When Sonia selected him as our PM, Manmohan clearly knew what he was getting into It was a master stroke on her part. Manmohan had a clean image and he was mostly a non-controversial figure. The regional parties could sell Manmohan to their constituencies easily and then could flock for an alliance with Congress. And that’s exactly what happened. Perhaps, Manmohan should not have agreed for this situation. If successful he, at best, was keeping seat warm for Rahul Gandhi or at worse, he would be a scapegoat for the Party’s failure. He knew that but he still opted for him. So his non-corruptibility is irrelevant. He was hungry for the power and decided to be the Prime Minister. Then, how can he not be blamed for all the despicable scandals that happened under his watch?

Ethics and morality are slippery concepts. But at root level, it is about setting self-imposed standards to abide by. Manmohan should have done scenario analysis and stress testing before accepting the Prime Ministership. That would have helped him in drawing a moral and ethical framework for himself.  For example, what would I do if a bill that I feel is good for the country is rejected by Sonia? Or as an economist, would I commit hundreds of billions of rupees that do not exist to a social reform package just because Sonia wants it? How much corruption would I tolerate and where do I draw the line and resign? Do I work for the country or Sonia? One can argue that his personal incorruptibility was his moral and ethical framework but being in a public serving environment his framework should include what he would do when people around him, people who work for him are to become corrupt.  I don’t think Manmohan did that. He did not take any measures to check unsavory activities within the government and limit the interference / influence of ex-constitutional authorities like NAC. So his personal non-corruptibility framework is not only inadequate but in fact, highly unethical. He may not have taken bribes for himself or for his family but he is corrupt in every other sense.

I keep asking myself, why didn’t he resign? His inabilities as politician are quite evident but any sane individual would say ‘f&*k this s^&t, I am leaving’.  Actually, he did use his ‘resignation’ weapon, as per Sanjay Baru’s book, during Nuclear Deal sign-off saga. The party and Sonia were not for the deal but Manmohan had already personally promised the deal to Obama and US. In this intra-party, intra-government stand-off Manmohan came out on the top in spite of intervention from Sonia. They obviously couldn’t afford his resignation. So the deal was signed. Alas, that was the extent of Manmohan standing up for something, being in charge. He went back to being a mute spectator after that.

There is an underlying reason as to why Manmohan acted the way he did. I touched this point briefly in the beginning. Manmohan wasn’t working for our country. He was working for Sonia. His allegiance was towards Gandhi family, not towards India. He was more worried about keeping Gandhi family intact than work towards betterment of India. That means him resigning would have endangered Gandhi family’s hold on power. Manmohan couldn’t possibly allow that; our nation be damned.

What kind of legacy Manmohan leaves? A not so great one, to say the least. Manmohan is nothing but a power-hungry, Gandhi family sycophant who presided over numerous scams and number of ghastly terrorist attacks; a morally corrupt and highly unethical individual who demoralized not just the government mechanism but also our armed forces. He and his government have left their incompetent and corrupt fingerprints on every facet of country. No one will remember A. Raja or Kalmadi, history will remember this as a Manmohan government. And as if this wasn’t enough then he will always be remembered as a person who handed baton to Rahul Gandhi. Yep, the tragedy just continues. 

Modi Tsunami? (Part II)

My last blog kind of left few things hanging. There were some obvious questions and rejoinders to be added. If Congress and Soniagress are so shrewd then how come they do not dismantle Modi for challenging them? What is the source of his power? And what’s next?

Before I dive in, let me reiterate. All this pravachan is with confidence that Modi will win this election handsomely and become next PM. If he doesn’t for whatever reason, voter fraud, voting machine fraud etc., then, well, we are in trouble.

The central government lead by Congress party approached the Modi ‘problem’ with two pronged strategy. One was to entangle him riots, fake encounter or some other flimsy legal case. Second, was to hammer him down through media. I am sure there must be a lot more that was going on behind the scene. For example, the recent Sunday Guardian article shed light on nefarious activities purported by Hillary Clinton as the foreign minister of U.S. She tasked NGO from Nordic countries to find mass graves of Gujarat riots. Even if a single bone was to be found, she was ready lodge a complaint to UN and put sanctions on India. And the article further mentions that this task was done with active help of couple of central ministers and it further insinuates that Sonia was supporting this clandestine mission. Apart from a hilarious instance where the search party mistook buffalo bones for human ones and prematurely celebrated, they did not find anything. And, that’s because there was actually nothing.  Even the Special Task Force Investigation (STI) appointed and governed by Supreme Court of India did not find any wrongdoing on Modi’s part in Gujarat riots. So from siding with anti-national forces to cajoling Supreme Court into action, the government led by Congress and Soniagress left no stone unturned on countering Modi through legal system.

Then they tried their best in attacking Modi through media. The relentless scrutiny of print and digital media on Gujarat and Modi was numbing. These people all but convicted Modi of crime against humanity. The media onslaught, they thought, would impact electoral success that Modi was enjoying. Nothing worked because there is a crucial difference between Modi and the Delhi ‘lutyenites’ as Tavleen Singh calls them. Modi has a very big mass base. He is not in power because favors are thrown at him by ‘high-command’. He has earned it – through his development, through his oration, through shrewd political moves - he kept connecting with people. In democracy people’s support tantamounts to having a combo of  Karna’s kavach-kundal and Arjuna’s Indra-astra. Pretty awesome I would say!  He keeps getting elected by people of Gujarat and his shrewd marketing tactics means he has loyal and vociferous supporters outside of Gujarat.

A more nuanced point to note - Since he did this on his own, apart from gratitude, he doesn’t owe any favors (or money!) to anyone. That obviously saves him a lot of time, which to his credit; he ably uses to make further development

There is another source of power. And that is his clean image. He does not have a single corruption charge against him. In fact, there is not even a single accusation against him. Even the fertile mind of Kejariwal couldn’t conjure anything. The best he had was the supposed cozy relationship between Adani and Modi. Of course, it’s altogether different matter that the land dealings of Modi were praised by the Supreme Court. Truth stands no chance against Kerajriwal! In this day and age where the scams have reached astronomical amounts, it is hard to find a clean politician with enough power to reach the PM post. His ‘wife’ lives on her own and Modi’s siblings make their money through jobs, that is, they own no businesses.

I hear the recently published book of Manmohan’s media advisor is quite illuminating in this regard. I haven’t had opportunity to read the book as yet but the reviews make it clear that Manmohan was systematically made redundant by Sonia and her ilk. Whatever power he had was mostly used towards placating government’s allies. The Congress, its ministers, politicians and all the leeches on it formed a kind of eco system that served them well, nation be damned. Especially after an unexpected victory in 2009, these people completely forgot that they are in Delhi to serve the people. They were busy fighting each-other and to curry more favors from Sonia. Pretty much all of them completely lost the track of Modi who was positioning himself for Delhi. They thought raking up Gujarat riots would be enough but unfortunately for them (and fortunately for us!), the dam wasn’t good enough for a tsunami.

And, this tsunami is about to wash off the shady, underworld-esque, sycophant, arrogant, power-drunk, corrupt, incompetent, nepotism and anti-national Congress government of Delhi

Modi Tsunami?

The elections are in full swing and the opinion polls are suggesting resounding victory for Modi and BJP. I personally do feel that BJP will get closer to 250 on its own. But this is not a math calculation. And, feelings have no value. Because if that was the case then Congress, with their listless, powerless, incompetent, morally and ethically corrupt PM (i.e. our dear Manmohan), would not have won the 2004 and 2009 election. In both of those elections opinion polls had suggested strong BJP current which was completely absent from the poll results! 

I hope the history does not repeat itself this time.

Election time usually time also brings the political vitriol to the surface. I think most of this criticism and back and forth of accusation is a staged drama. Especially in last couple of decades when the corruption went through the roof, you need to work with politicians / ministers from all parties to ensure one, you can continue the corrupt ways and second, to not to get caught. But at the same time to maintain the visage of political fight these politicians ‘fight’ with each other in front of crowd. It’s all good, except for the corruption of course. It is a good thing they fight only with accusation rather than guns. But this election is different. The hatred and contempt thrown Modi’s way is real. Politicians from across the country, save for the NDA allies, have pointed their guns towards one person. All these people, especially the ‘Soniagress’, genuinely hate Modi ji. One get the feeling that per these stooges Modi has no right to contest national elections. When Sonia says that Modi and BJP will destroy the ‘Hindustaniyat’, she means that. And in a way this is true too. Of course, her definition of ‘Bharatiyata’ is little different. I think she thinks true Bharatiyata is Bharatiya being slave of her.

Forget about 2002 riots, even if hadn’t happened, the opposition to Modi would have been equally strong. This is because he is sure to destabilize the coterie of Delhi, assiduously build by Congressites over last 60 odd years. And he will impact the Congress culture in two ways – power and money.

The cliché that power is money is true only certain extent. In Delhi, Congress cultivates power for survival. The equation works this way – hold on to the power at any cost and money –tons and tons of it, will follow. And, there is a time tested formula to get this equation right. In this power pyramid Gandhi family sits at the top, always. The source of money flows to them and power emanates from them. The power game becomes a game unto itself since serving people or nation takes the back-seat. As long as you are committed to keeping Gandhis in power, you shall prosper. This model is similar to Mughal structure. And just like Mughal Sultans would venture out to take ‘care’ of rebel appointees, Gandhis either sidelined or worse, killed the local appointees who gained too much power. (Rajesh Pilot, Sindia, YSR?) Moreover, the regional power brokers such as DMK et. Al also had to stay within their state borders. The Gandhis ensured that regional politician do not threaten their standing in Delhi. The Delhi was untouchable. Either they will rule it directly or in rare instances, their appointees would be put up as rag dolls. Another important tactic they succeeded in was handling the so called elites – media as well as social, within Delhi. They ably managed the media, the academics and so called ‘thinkers’ in Delhi through favors (inam!) and other such means.

Barring the era of P.V. Narsimharao government, this power structure remained intact. Even Vajapyee government couldn’t dent it. And then of course during the era of our ‘great’ Manmohan government, the la familia regained whatever power it had lost and then some. The generation of Congress politicians who owe their existence to the bread crumbs from Gandhi family now has their second generation in motion. The second generation obviously is more submissive to the Gandhi family than their elders. The cycle continues.

The hold of la familia can still be debated because power in and in itself is hard to quantify. But corruption is very apparent and dollar value can be put on the scandals. This is where the second act of Congressites regales in full glory. The corruption even by Congress’s standards has broken all records in last ten years. And if one looks closely then the actors in these biggest scandals includes not only the Congress ministers but also regional politicians. The ‘wealth’ so to speak is being distributed among the lesser actors. This may be because Congress had to share the illicit money to stay in the power or perhaps because scams were of such staggering proportions that they couldn’t possibly gobble it alone. In any case the allies as well as Congressites established a very successful business model of siphoning billions of dollars out of India. The power was still with Gandhis but the fruits were shared with everyone. For this business model to work staying in the power was paramount. No matter what the cost is, they have to literally rule Delhi.

And then there is Modi!

For last ten years Congress’s power over Delhi was absolute. The so called opposition i.e. BJP was either lost or silent. Congress did as it pleases as if the throwback era of Indira Gandhi and Rajiv Gandhi. But this year’s electoral change is not a merely change in winds but a potential tsunami that will wash off all the dirt that Congress has built in Delhi.

Let’s hope that tsunami actually materializes.

The Political Start-Up - AAP

Election is on everyone's mind. Whether one likes Modi or not, the undeniable truth is that his candidacy has forced millions of people to think or talk about up-coming election. It's an achievement in itself. One more factor that briefly threatened to make this election more interesting is emergence of Kejariwal and his Aam Aadami Party. Him winning Delhi election was a watershed moment and should rightly be celebrated as epitome of our democratic process. People voted for change, people voted for honesty and in the process, voters also slapped the entrenched political establishment. Though I am a Modi supporter (just in case it was apparent from my prior blogs!), I respected Kejariwal and hoped for his continuing success. But it proved to be a mirage. The ensuing events after Kejariwal becoming CM of Delhi were both unexpected and unfortunate. Instead of building on electoral success, Kejariwal actively undermined himself and opted to go short on himself. Kejariwal worked hard and relentlessly in his beliefs and I thought, he could achieve so much more. I already ranted about Kejariwal in my prior blog. No need to add more to it. But I couldn’t help myself from dwelling on opportunity lost.

I had extensive discussion on the topic of Kejariwal and AAP with a colleague of mine. Needless to say he is a staunch AAP supporter and he presented some valid points. It made me rethink about AAP and Kejariwal for couple of days but at the end it actually increased my resentment and disappointment for Kejariwal. My colleague made following points:

• AAP is a start-up. The corruption has completely gone out of hands in India. People have just accepted corrupt and immoral activities as a new norm. AAP raises voice against it. In theory the party does give hope and strength to take a stand against status quo. 
• AAP is not based on the caste, religion or regional politics. The party is concerned about making lives better by holding politicians and bureaucrats to honest and moral standards. 
• AAP is a credible and positive counter-force to current crop of political parties that are deeply entrenched in Delhi circle.  
• He understands that AAP is a no-show in this election but he is investing in AAP – a start-up with a hope that they will grow and pay good dividends to the electorate in next five years or so.   

Though I would think Modi ji also as a positive force that is about to destabilize the Delhi culture, all in all, I agree with my friend here. It’s a unique perspective that takes the long view of this moment. It also somewhat lessens the pain of watching Kejariwal faltering in this election. Discussions aside, the reality is quite different though. Even if we consider AAP as a start-up then the ideas or ‘products’ they are putting on the table are already not resonating with its customers i.e. with voters. And without new voters i.e. without fresh capital, this start-up will fold within next five years. 

I think Kejariwal and AAP made couple of strategic mistakes after their grand show in Delhi assembly elections. And it is bound to affect survival of this start-up. 

• Kejariwal should have continued with his stint as a CM in Delhi. His antics and all, he showed his ineptness in governing a polity. He says he left the post for his ideals, for what he stands for. But if that is the case then he shouldn’t have joined the politics and stayed on course with Anna. Politics, apart from Ram-Rajya era, is another word for compromise. But a true good politician stays on course and ultimately achieves what he set for. The problems with Lokpal or with Delhi police or the interference of central government in Delhi government are not new. If he had shown that he could govern ably in spite of these issues then it would have shown to the voters that one doesn’t need to be corrupt to govern.

• The second blunder, the biggest one in that, was to target Modi on a national level. Perhaps, he thought since Congress is going to lose this national election badly, his political opponent is Modi. But there are couple of inherent fault in this thinking. One, Congress was in power in Delhi for last ten years. Those ten years are littered with staggering level of corruption. People are fed-up with Congress lead scandals, lack of leadership and price rise. In short, voters are angry at Congress, not at Modi. I am not saying BJP doesn’t have corrupt politicians in its fold, they do but the fact is that under Modi, Gujrat has progressed quite a bit and he has provided stable and decisive leadership. And most importantly there is not a single corruption charge against Modi! The strategy to target Modi instead of further chipping away Congress voters by going after Rahul or Sonia or for that matter, Shiela Dixit is proving to be a grand failure.

Doing political mistakes is okay, any new entrant has a learning curve. But with his antics, Kejariwal has a very short rope to climb out of mess. I don’t think voters will be affording many chances to him. The sad part is, now that he has jumped into politics, he cannot go back to being an activist. Not only we lost an honest and effective activist but in the process, we did not even gain a honest politician either! 

Mumbai Carnage Of 2008 - A Look Back

I have compiled few articles as well as videos that illustrate media's
perception towards Mumbai carnage. The media has uncontested power in
capturing the history through yellow lens of biased attitude, vested
interest as well as misinformation. Unfortunately, long after the
survivors, the victims and the preparatory are gone, it is the
imprints that media chooses to leave that will shape the history.
Earlier it used to the winners to write the history. In modern times
no matter who wins the contest, the only winner that emerges is the
media.

1) The New York Times doesn't have brightest brains to cover India.
They have only couple of dedicated writers who routinely cover India
related news and Somini Sengupta happens to be the most printed
journalist from India. After getting the late start in picking up
events in Mumbai, Somini Sengupta came up with this 'brilliant'
article where she clearly demonstrates that the political fighting that ensued
post-Mumbai carnage is all fault of 'Hindu nationalist' B.J.P. and
specially of Mr. Narendra Modi – 'arguably India's most incendiary
politician. (http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/29/world/asia/29india.html)

       She later quotes Mr. Yogendra Yadav  - guy with no known
qualification in statistics as well as proven record of predicting

wrong election results (Gujarat Elections, M.P. Rajasthan and Zarkhand

election as well as 2004 Central elections)  - according to whom
terrorism ranks lowest as decisive factor in the elections. In short,
all though BJP is trying to win votes over this incidence (and
Congress, the party happens to be in power is not) the Congress should
win the elections.

 Increasingly New York Times is hell bent on projecting the terrorist
attack as a fall-out of Kashmir issue as well as 'poor' treatment that
Muslim receives in India. It can't be mere coincidence that the pitch
that Muslim leaders as well as their 'secular' savior make finds its
echo into respected foreign media.

2) To my surprise in the same newspaper William Kristol wrote a sane
commentary on the behavior of 'pinko-leftists' among foreign media.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/01/opinion/01kristol.html?_r=1&emc=eta1


3) Take a look at this moron Shekhar Gupta - Editor in Chief of
national daily.  All though this interview was conducted long time
before Mumbai carnage, the questions that Shekhar Gupta asks astounds
any sane personality. Perhaps this kind of thinking line permeates not
only the press but also the political class. Unfortunately it is the
common man that bores the brunt of stupidity of so called
'intelligentsia'.

My favorite questions are "But why is your state a major victim? Is
it because Gujarat is next door? And • Do you think Maharashtra is
paying a price for being Gujarat's neighbor? The questions were in
regards with prior bomb-blasts that shook Mumbai.
(http://www.indianexpress.com/news/it-a-breakthrough-is-expected-as-early-as-possible.-i-cant-say-whe.../8691/)


4)  Our 'celebrated' journalist Barkha Dutta failed to recognize why
there is anything wrong in seeing Pakistani flags flying high in
Muslim communities in Mumbai
http://www.ndtv.com/convergence/ndtv/video/video.aspx?id=45735


5) But all is not lost. Some of the articles, especially from Wall
Street Journal were of highest standard and presented the actual
picture from the ground.  Following article that chronicles this
macabre drama should be a 'must' read for all Indians.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122809281744967855.html?mod=todays_us_nonsub_page_one
(p.s. I am also attaching word file of this article)

As media frenzy reached its nadir the news networks were running out
of experts. Bright brains in CNN thought that Deepak Chopra would be a
good person to talk to about this incidence. Of course, Mr. Chopra
ever ready to let his steam off on TV at every given chance was at his
best in making mess out of an already messed up situation. WSJ printed
a well written, humorous and sarcastic opinions piece on Mr. Chopra's
appearance.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122809544395968075.html

Some of the good articles published by Indian media are as follows -:

M. J. Akbar – Editor in Chief of Asian Age, succinctly captured the
whole situation and provided glimpse of sanity in Indian media.
http://www.rediff.com/news/2008/dec/02mumterror-pakistan-will-have-to-pay-a-heavy-price.htm

Same thing with Swapan Dasgupta in Forbes
http://www.forbes.com/2008/11/28/mumbai-terrorist-manmohan-oped-cx_sd_1128dasgupta.html?feed=rss_news

It was surprising to see good commentary of current issue getting
published in Cricinfo. But kudos to them that they managed to capture
the reality as it is instead of getting polarized.
http://content-usa.cricinfo.com/magazine/content/current/story/380239.html
-----Gideon Heigh

I will  also request readers to regularly visit Mr. B. Raman's blog
http://ramansterrorismanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/11/indias-day-of-infamy.html

Running Out of Ropes to Climb?

I recently started reading Gurucharan Das’s “India Grows At night”. I am yet to finish the book but I am sure it will certainly be a great read. The basic premise of the book is this: India’s growth in last couple of decades is potentially reaching its end point. The growth happened in spite of weak, corrupt and generally incompetent government and unless the situation with governance changes in near future we will be staring at not-so-bright future. Mr. Das is much more positive and optimistic in his assertions that my previous sentence suggest but we are really running out ropes to climb. 

I recently moved to India and I see how things are stretched to the limit. The government is responding at certain levels. Roads are getting built and fly-overs are taking shape but it’s coming too late and too little. The population is growing so fast, in spite of fall in birth rate, and government is miserably failing to meet even the basic needs.  The thing is that in old days government not functioning was given and it didn’t affect the normal life as much since there were few opportunities and there wasn’t a sense of how much potential we have. But people have understood the potential. Small set of population has done exceedingly well in last ten years. The money was made in honest business (construction, services, entrepreneurship, land etc.) and the money is very apparent. And I am not even talking about folks who drive Audis and BMWs. The upper middle class and the middle class are having a lot more luxurious life than what was possible  twenty years ago. The foreign trips to Sri Lanka and South-East Asia are very common and having multiple maids at home to take care is a norm. And I think those are all good signs. The money in most such cases is made honestly and is results of hard work. These people have shown appetite for opportunity and jumped on it. But there is still a large majority left in lurch and to bring these millions of people to a respectable living condition (i.e. way above the BPL level that government insist on referring to when it comes to talking about poverty)we need healthy government functioning competently.

The middle class and upper middle class that is enjoying the fruits of liberal economic policy made their money in spite of government. The money is either coming from US through BPO or hybrid outsourcing model or money is made by driving on bad roads, facing power shortage and running around in the maze of unlimited bureaucracy. The airports are congested, the railways are overflowing and large scale industrialization plans are hidden away on environment minister’s desk. The inflation is sky rocketing beyond imagination and comprehension.  Given these issues continue to not only persist but developments have been very slow, how far can middle class can go without hitting the wall?

But I think even after hitting the wall they will survive. They are better educated and there will always be some or other opportunity for them as India will be forced to integrate with world economy. It is the poor that I am worried about. It is the maids and paper-boys, the cleaning ladies and her children that are of most concern. 

For example, more than 80% of road projects are well behind their schedule and planning commission has admitted that port development projects in last planning commission period will not be completed on time. How does it affect poor? As per the  World Economic Forum in its 2011 report on infrastructure, 163 people are lifted out of poverty for every million dollars spent on road development.

Primary education should be the gravest of concerns for next Indian government. The private sector is proliferating at a staggering rate since majority of the public schools i.e. government run schools are in shambles. The private schooling is very expensive for majority of the people. In any case, providing quality education at a very reasonable rate is one of the basic duties of any government. Education shouldn’t be a privilege; it should be a fundamental right. Yet our government has failed miserably. The teachers are either absent or not hired or worse, untrained. This reflects in student’s passing percentage. Only 42% students passed the Math exams in class 8^th in government schools.  In 2012 only 30% of Standard 3^rd students could read Standard 1^st text. Such grim statistics are many.

Similar situation is in public health sector. As per KPMG research the infant mortality in India is 52 per 1000 births. To give the readers more perspective the same statistics stands at 18 per 1000 births in China. Hospital bed density is 9 in India, which means there are only 9 hospital beds available for every 10,000 people. The number stands at 30 in China. Interestingly the total government expenditure on health care as percent of GDP in 2007 is 4.1 in India and in China it is 4.3!

I don’t want to make this blog full of statistics. The readers are well versed in googling correct terms and read the publications. But I wanted to cover certain basic tenets on which a country can assess its progress and unfortunately, our government is miserably failing in those indicators. What’s worse is unless these basic issues are fixed - our children are born in safe and healthy environment, they are educated decently and provided means to earn livelihood, we will keep stumbling in the future.

And I haven't even talked about the inflation monster that's wrecking havoc in last five years. 

Sources:

1)      “New roads to economic growth”

http://www.traffictechnologytoday.com/features.php?BlogID=522

2)      Education’s primary problems

http://www.financialexpress.com/news/education-s-primary-problems/948273

3)      Why the state of India’s primary education is shocking

http://www.firstpost.com/india/why-the-state-of-indias-primary-education-is-shocking-598011.html?utm_source=ref_article

4)      Healthcare: Reaching out to the masses

http://www.kpmg.de/docs/Healthcare_in_India.pdf

The Great Tamasha!

I will be honest; I supported Kejariwal when he was with Anna. I supported him when he formed a political party inspite of reservations from Anna. I backed him up running for Delhi elections and I was very happy that he trounced Congress in Delhi vidhan sabha elections. And then he formed the government. I am not against him forming the government but for him to form the government with Congresse’s support was debasement of everything he stood for. Rather everything he said that he stood for. How can he? The Delhi government was ruled by Congress for fifteen years and yet he equated Congress with BJP and then took Congress support to form the government. What am I missing? Either I am hallucinating in the land of illogic or this guy, kejariwal must be smoking Kathmandu mewa! In my mind, he should have let the hung parliament, well, hung and then called for another round of elections. He either would have gotten trounced or received more votes to form government outright. Sadly he got power hungry even before he sat on the sinhasan. Taking Congress support wasn’t he worse part, as it turn out to be, it was just the start of lies and drama.

Right after coming to the power he started making grand gesture. Cut the power and water bill. And if you ask him who’s (baap!) going to pay the deficit then you are branded as a BJP member, a traitor, an anti-national. Let’s audit the power firms, water board and everything under the sky. Then he realized, this shit won’t garner enough publicity. So let that go aside and let’s send our law minister on a vigilante trip. Let him embarrass himself and then let’s go on dharana to avenge him embarrassing himself! What, there was another gang-rape? Splendid, he figured out how to dodge the bullet better than Sheila Dixit. He leveraged the rape to gain more publicity and create more drama. He paralyze the whole state government, shut-down the Metro, threaten the R-Day parade (which is only days away) and proclaim himself an anarchist and sat on a Dharana. What was the dharana for? Suspend the cops who went teeth for teeth with his Law Minister? Suspend the cops who let the gang rape happen? And get Delhi police report to the Delhi state government rather than the central government?

No one knows because his dharana achieved nothing. Well, nothing for the public that he swears he serves. But it was a grand success for his personal ambition. Now he wants to run for the Lok Sabha election. Now he wants to be a Prime Minister. And through dharana he is getting free advertisement in NDTV et al. Brilliant plan indeed!  

As sweepers started cleaning the streets Kejariwal and Co. littered, the reality dawned on everybody.  Delhi police is still under Central government. The gang rapes, very unfortunately, will continue to happen. (WTF is wrong with Delhi people?)  Even the prostitution and drug racket that his Law Minister bravely tried to stop will continue its business. Nothing changed. The reality that was yesterday continue to be the reality today. But the idea, protesting against the corrupt and bringing them down on their knees, that had power yesterday died chaotic death at the hands of political brinkmanship and personal ambition.

Mr. Kejariwal, you no longer have my support! 

The Power Structure

As the election is getting closer, the Congress Party is working feverishly to protect its turf. They have not yet anointed the chosen ‘one’. Perhaps out of fear that they are about to get trounced in the election and they want to protect their brand, the Gandhi brand. Or maybe they have some grandstanding gesture up their sleeves akin to recent ordinance bill drama that will launch Rahul Gandhi in a positive light. Their recent maneuvers like freeing Mulayam Singh, imprisoning Lalu etc. are little confusing to me. I mean the Congress Party owns the government, they own the bureaucracy, they brazenly toy with the law and with the Supreme Court verdicts; they own CBI and they even own the media. It is really hard to beat them. If they win enough seats, around 200, then the Lalu’s and Mulayam will flock to them anyways.  Not sure what are they worried about!

Perhaps, Narendra Modi?

I always wonder how the Congress Party survives. The sycophancy, the moral, ethical and mental corruption, general lack of creativity and inability to keep up with the changing times should have obliterated the party long time ago.  Instead it got second wind ten years ago and it’s still kicking strong. The dynasty of Gandhi has been pretty successful.  They took advantage of parliamentary politics and used the dictatorial powers where necessary. Except for brief period of Shastri and Narsimharao government, these Gandhis have maintained absolute strong hold over Congress party. So much so that it is hard to believe that Congress party was the political voice of India before independence.  

How do you create a dynasty and maintain the power? First you destroy your enemies and win the ultimate seat of power. Then, you ruthlessly and efficiently weed out any internal opposition and create divisions among the rest. And finally, you create a system of favors and kick-backs that balances the contesting interest and ensure your supreme authority. Mind you achieving these targets is not easy. Especially the last part of granting favors appropriately is a very tough act. Once you figure out the balancing act, the results can be fabulous though. You have uncontested power that attracts money, which in turn, gives you more power to rule and dole out favors. The whole structure props itself up. Not a bad position to be! The Gandhis did exactly that with the Congress party.

The party of Congress soon became party of Nehru and Gandhis after independence. Jawaharlaal Nehru wasn’t the most popular by any stretch nor was he competent. But he was Mahatma Gandhi’s favorite and in pre-independence era that’s all it mattered. So Nehru was forced India as our first Prime Minster. So the first part of dynastic politics – grabbing power, was made easy for Gandhis ironically by another Gandhi.  What followed was systematic destruction of anything resembling democracy in the party. Nehru and his progenies became de-facto leaders. For example, Nehru installed Indira Gandhi as chief of Congress Party in 1958 in spite of presence of senior leadership in the party. There after the party slowly descended from party of people to private properly of Gandhis. Nehru-Gandhis became the rulers of India and Congress party became the instrument to rule.  Allegiance and prostration to Gandhi’s became primary criteria to survive and thrive in the Party. Their favors will get anyone a Lok-Sabha seat, a plum position in the government and open doors of riches for you. If you are in their good books you are sort of ‘made man’.  

Important to note here is that such submission was always by choice. No one has asked Manmohan to be who he is or to be in a position that he is. Sonia Gandhi did him a favor by choosing him as her Prime Minister over others and in return Manmohan will do anything to please her. Same applies to all sycophants from the era of Indira Gandhi to Rahul Gandhi.  The latest example is of Digvijay Singh, the erstwhile Chief Minister of Madhya Pradesh. His ticket back to power is to stoop to any depths for Rahul Gandhi. His erratic, borderline anti-national statements are well planned to deflect any attention on the government failures and on Gandhi family. For his services he will be awarded at least a cabinet minister position if Congress is to come to power.

There is no wonder that these folks, the party, Gandhis and scores of beneficiaries of this structure hate Narendra Modi to the core. These people are enjoying fruits of power for last ten years. The Vajpayee era was bad for these folks, no power, no avenues to siphon money, nothing else to do. It took certain amount of luck to come back to power after Mr. Vajpayee. They ain’t gonna let power slip through their fingers easily. The systemic ways CBI was used to prosecute certain individuals while exonerating others is just the beginning. The ‘system’ will be in full force before election to ensure return of Gandhis to the power. 

Narendra Modi was never part of any system, he carries no sycophants or‘chamachas’ in his back pocket, he is incorruptible, he has no family history and no intention to establish dynastic politics. He is a shrewd politician who understands the necessities of playing dirty politics and he has huge mass appeal. In short he is anti-thesis of what Congress party and Gandhis stands for. Since he does not belong to the system, he has the best chance to beat the odds. I hope he does exactly that.

The Cash, The Caste and The Election

The next general election is around the corner. Technically there is at least one more year to ago but there may be an early call for the election or perhaps, the government will crumble before that. In any case the country is in so much misery that I sincerely hope that Congress party is booted out. Our Prime Minister, the so called economist, never had any grip over governance. It was never any secret that he lacks political acumen, oratory or rudimentary leadership skills but what was surprising was his lack of understanding in economics and financial sector. He royally messed up Indian economy and it will take years to come out of hole he dug for us. The FDI is in shambles, the infrastructure is miserable, the rupee is coming down the pike with no breaks and the inflation is through the roof. Now economy is not an exact science, I know. You can argue about one aspect by justifying the measures taken for other aspect. But when you screw everything in one go, especially when the economic engine Manmohan inherited was roaring and ready to shift to next gear, then either the folks at the helm are illiterate and incompetent and/or corrupt. I can vouch that Manmohan is not an illiterate; I have seen him reading his speeches. And, I am tired of typing incompetent, corrupt and Manmohan in same sentence.

Did we talk about the foreign policy? Don’t get me started on that topic. An unmitigated disaster!  He pushed India’s standing downwards, he demoralized the troops and he should be held partly responsible for all the terrorist attacks that killed scores of innocent folks in last ten years.

Even I.K Gujral and H.D. Dewe Gowada are thinking “Man…I was better than this!”

As if that wasn’t enough the shrill election rhetoric of Congress party is deafening and disorienting. The nerve to whitewash the failures, the audacity to put country second to their personal gains is mind-numbing. How many times they will talk about communalism? I guess till the cows come home. And cows won’t ever come home because they have already sold’em to the butchers.

For an outsider observer the only topic on the agenda seems to be communalism and secularism. There is a whole industry – media, politicians and the so-called experts, feeding families on this topic. But winning election is little more complicated than honking communalism horns! The two big C that caste wide shadow over election is Cash and Caste. It is incredible to see how government of India over last sixty years aggressively tried to eradicate caste system and yet, how powerful the system remains. Folks still vote along the caste lines. A political party has to be aware of caste equations and field candidate accordingly. Of course, opposition party also fields a candidate from that caste. So pandering for caste votes begins. Throwing goodies like reservation policies, job quotas etc. ensues. It’s a downward spiral from there. Since development of any sort is not on anyone’s mind the country as a whole suffers while caste identities remain deeply entrenched.

The cash is of course necessary for running an election campaigning. You need bundles of it for holding large rallies, for TV advertisements, for banners but aside from that, cash is king in a very old fashioned way. You can buy votes with cash. Cash can be distributed for votes or bribe the official who count the votes. Bam, problem solved!

I recently watched Mr. Modi’s rebuttal to the government on food security bill. Now, if Congress party was in opposition then they would simply resort to food security bill being communal. No need to read the bill or suggest any changes, no need to educate the voters. Nothing! The bill is communal and they would rest their case. On the other hand, Mr. Modi methodically and objectively shed light on the aspects of the bill. I for one did not know anything about the bill. Though I knew the bill must be full of typical Manmohan crap since any bill he proposes is usually bulls%^t. But when I watched Mr. Modi’s speech I realized why the bill is such a bad idea. In short Mr. Modi did what he was supposed to do. He studied a topic and presented its nuances to the voters. He tried to educate the voters rather than just pandering for their votes. Let the voters decide how he/she wants to proceed on the bill; politician’s job is to present the contrasting views. There are scores of such videos where Mr. Modi elucidates on various topics. There is nothing communal about it! This is a prime example of constructive opposition. Whether you agree with him or not, you know more about a topic than before. You have better tools to make decision than before. He is not trying to fool you or woo you. He respects your intelligence and asks you to make sensible choice by providing more information. Obviously, by providing more information he negates Caste and Cash effects. Voters will start voting on the issues rather than for the candidate. In short, voters will be empowered.

This is all bad for the Congress party and for Manmohan since he doesn’t like empowering people. Manmohan likes enrichment; self-enrichment that is!

It’s a long way to go before Mr. Modi gets elected. He will still have to cautiously tread along the caste line. He will still have to raise tons of money. He will still have to do back-hand deals to garner votes. But he shows glimpse of what and how things are supposed to be. 

Wanted: An Orator Visionary!

A friend of mine recently shared an old video of famed Marathi literary write P. L. Deshpande (Pu. La.) and former Prime Minster of India Atal Bihari Vajpayee. Both of them were attending a public function to celebrate life and works freedom fighter V.D. Savarkar (Veer Savarkar) in Pune. The video doesn’t have a date on it but based on reference to Shahabano verdict by Pu. La. I think the function took place in later part of 80’s. That decade was full of upheaval. The democratically elected dictatorship of Indira Gandhi, met ghastly end, rise of Rahul Gandhi Version 1 i.e. Rajiv Gandhi and his subsequent fall, rise of Mandal era along with coalition politics. On the international front, India was to lose thousands of soldiers in ill-fated IPKF mission and the Kashmir terrorism was about to enter the bloodiest phase. In short, the decade highlighted the complete political and ideological failure of Indian leaders.

The function was a treat to ears and to the soul. On one hand was a literary giant whose positive impact on Marathi is unquestionable. However, in this context, his other quality – he was a free thinker who did not let the traditions or social norms restrict his mind was in full galore. And then there was Vajpayee ji – who obviously need no introduction - a true leader, a true statesman, a true visionary and a true politician who always played politics for the sake of betterment than self-enrichment. But the most important characteristic of these two individuals was that they were orators of highest quality.

One more point to note from the perspective of their views on Savarkar – Pu.LA was avowed atheist and Vajapayee ji , theist who strongly believed in cultural norms, traditions and history. It is a testament to Savarkarian thoughts that in spite of coming from opposite spectrum both Pu. La. and Vajapayee ji could seamlessly paint a narrative on Savarkar.

These two giants played a role of a leader through their oratory. On the stage,  both of these individual not only succinctly captured life and thoughts of Savarkar but they also presented solutions of current issues that India was facing.

One of the key feature of a leader is his / her ability to educate and inspire the masses. Pu. La. and Vajapyee ji weaved the essence of Savarkar’s ideology and philosophy with current issues in simple terms and forced audience to introspect. Some folks are just born good in oration. It comes natural to them. Others have to work on the skill. From the perspective of leadership is not only essential but it is the hallmark of a leader. There are two key qualities a leader should possess – one, to synthesize information, map it to their experience and then see the big picture correctly. And second, it’s their duty elucidate an idea to the masses in inspiring words – the idea that for most purposes is incomprehensible to most. Add years of experience and the words gain weight of wisdom.

India was full of such leaders in 80’s and 90’s. Oration was mandatory in political circles. Whether it was chaste Hindi of Vajapayee ji or Advani ji or Bihari Hindi Lalu, holding tens of thousands of people spell bound was quite common. But something happened in last decade and half and suddenly there is absolute dearth of orator leaders. Apart from notable exceptions like L. K. Advani, Narendra Modi and Sushama Swaraj I don’t think there is any political leader left in India who can mesmerize the crowd. Sadly this speaks to the sorry state of current politics.

I remember going to a general election rallies in my hometown. The rally featured both L.K. Advani and Atal Bihari Vajpayee. Unfortunately, Vajyapee ji couldn’t attend but Advani ji spoke for more than half an hour without any notes or prompting. I couldn’t even see him from where I was standing. But his elocution, his impeccable command on Hindi and his vision for our country transfixed me. His words were full of integrity, character and truthfulness. It was an election rally so general political gimmicks were obvious yet he managed to present an idea on how we can achieve greatness as a nation A person with incorruptible character, his words carried weight of his achievements. I have watched many of Vajpayee ji’s videos yet I still rue my misfortune of not listening to him live.

The current ruling party, it should rather be called as ruling mafia, lacks public speakers of even rudimentary caliber. This is not only because majority of these folks do not know what to say unless prompted by high command but also because they do not have anything worthwhile to say. They have achieved nothing and they have no principals but to sit at the feet of high command. They do not have any experiences that can enrich anyone’s life and they do not have any vision to inspire anyone. They know they do not serve the people but rather rule them. Have you heard of any of the British rulers or viceroys being great public speakers? No, because they never had to. They ruled us, we were their slaves. You don’t need to lead your slaves; you don’t have to inspire them. You don’t have to make their life better. All you do is to make sure they work hard, punish them if they don’t and crush them if they try to be independent.

In 80’s and early 90’s, the Congress leaders at least had decency to make tall claims in public rallies. I remember Rajiv Gandhi making grandstanding statements like ‘Garibi Hatao’.  They would lie but at least had guts to stand in front of people to do so. Now, they simply publish a press report or plant fake, paid news through the newspapers. The Rahul Gandhi show is such a sorry state in spite of ‘arranged’ positive press coverage, that people are simply ignoring it. Gone are the days of political gimmicks where one of these Gandhi would at least sweat in sun to lie in front of crowd. Yesterday government proceeded to publish a laughable report about how poverty has been reduced in last six years. Our ‘economist’ Prime Minster did not even bother to talk about it. Of course, he is timid and mute but still quite clever. So instead of actually reducing poverty by raising income, standards of living, education and health index etc. he simply changed the definition of poverty. So now, only beggars are officially below poverty but if you are working and yet struggling to provide even basic food to your family or send kids to a decent public school where they can actually learning something then tough luck folks, you are fucked! Didn’t you read the report?

I digressed but I can’t stop myself from ranting about current state of Indian government. My point is that political situation in India is so dire that there is a serious want of good leader who is a visionary, a well-read and accomplished individual, who knows how India breaths, who knows our history, our culture, who can lay out our problems, treat all of us like sensible individual, who can enthrall a crowd with his oration, who can lay-out our future and then lead us.

Mod ji, we definitely, certainly, unquestionably, 100% need you. 

The End Of An Era

The news didn’t hit me hard as expected. The unraveling started last year when offered with more money Ray still opted to play with the Heat. That did not feel right. KG, Paul and Rajon were still there but without Ray it just did not feel right. I expected some important players to join the team over the summer but that did not happen. Jason certainly is a good player but one, he is past his prime and second, well, he ain’t Ray! I didn’t know much about Courtney then and don’t know much about him now. He went into hiding the moment he joined the team. Apart from these two additions there wasn’t much worth mentioning. Danny screwed up quite a bit here.

The session started alright. Typical Celt style, always catching up! I kept my horses tied and waited for the ‘shit just real’ moment that would typically announce start of Celtics session in last Jan or Feb. That moment never showed up. Instead, Rajon’s ACL quit on him. And she took whatever left of the session. Yes, everyone knew that Cetls will play in the playoffs but everyone also knew that they won’t beat anyone there. Their ranking (8^th) for majority of the session was, unfortunately, absolutely spot-on.. They still beat the Heat once and came awfully close to beating them again (and breaking Heat’s record win streak) but that has more to do with indomitable spirit of KG and Paul than anything else. Them old dogs knew where’s the bone! The whole affair felt like last rites, placidly going in the ground. No last hurrah, no heroic wins, no more comebacks. Once proud bunch slowly fading into past.

I couldn’t watch their games anymore. Irrespective of their brief rejuvenation in Game 4, the series against Knicks was painful. It was time to draw curtains.

The Celtics era of 2008-2013 was so intertwined with my stay in Boston their demise feels personal. I moved to Boston a month after KG and Ray showed up on the banks of Charles. I was entering into a relatively stable stage in my life and had more time and enthusiasm for basketball again. Watching Celtics 2007-08 was magical. They played the game in truest fashion. Their defense was a clinic presented every game and their offense, though always in need of spark, worked utterly efficient. Rajon was still learning his trade but he was still the master. KG was a year away from parting with his ACL, Paul was still couple of years removed from old age. And Ray, well, was Ray. Their championship run was well deserved. They were the best, hands down.

As I engrained myself into Celtics culture, the team continued to provide wholesome entertainment. They never won championship, coming awfully close twice; it was a treat watching them. And even though I moved to west coast I continued to bleed green.

Last year’s loss to Heat in game 7 was excruciatingly painful to stomach. I guess in hindsight that was indeed the last hurrah. This year was one year too much. There was no way the group would have continued. I expected changes but still, I didn’t expect all of my folks to leave in haste. They didn’t even say Bye. They were just gone taking an era with them.

So long my friends, you were the best! Thanks for the memories, I will always appreciate them.